GRUvader: Sentiment-Informed Stock Market Prediction

Akhila Mamillapalli, Bayode Ogunleye, Sonia Timoteo Inacio, Olamilekan Shobayo

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Stock price prediction is challenging due to global economic instability, high volatility, and the complexity of financial markets. Hence, this study compared several machine learning algorithms for stock market prediction and further examined the influence of a sentiment analysis indicator on the prediction of stock prices. Our results were two-fold. Firstly, we used a lexicon based sentiment analysis approach to identify sentiment features, thus evidencing the correlation between the sentiment indicator and stock price movement. Secondly, we proposed the use of GRUvader, an optimal gated recurrent unit network, for stock market prediction. Our findings suggest that stand-alone models struggled compared with AI-enhanced models. Thus, our paper makes further recommendations on latter systems.
Original languageEnglish
Article number 3801
Number of pages18
JournalMathematics
Volume12
Issue number23
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 30 Nov 2024

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2024 by the authors.

Keywords

  • autoregressive integrated moving average
  • ARIMA
  • generative adversarial networks
  • GAN
  • gated recurrent unit
  • GRU
  • machine learning
  • natural language processing
  • sentiment analysis
  • time series analysis

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