GRUvader ‐ Sentiment Informed Stock Market Prediction

Akhila Mamillapalli, Bayode Ogunleye, Sonia Timoteo Inacio, Olamilekan Shobayo

Research output: Working paperPreprint

Abstract

Stock price prediction is challenging due to global economic instability, high volatility and complexity of financial markets. Hence, this study compared several machine learning algorithms for stock market prediction and further examine the influence of sentiment analysis indicator in predicting stock price. Our results are in two‐fold. Firstly, we present a lexicon‐based sentiment analysis approach for identifying sentiment features and thus, evidence the correlation between the sentiment indicator and stock price movement. Secondly, we propose the use of GRUvader, an optimal gated recurrent unit networks for stock market prediction. Our findings suggest stand‐alone models struggle when compared with AI‐enhanced models. Thus, our paper made further recommendations on latter systems.
Original languageEnglish
Number of pages18
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 31 Oct 2024

Keywords

  • ARIMA
  • GRU
  • sentiment analysis
  • time series analysis
  • machine learning
  • natural language processing
  • gated recurrent unit
  • autoregressive integrated moving average

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