Combat utility prediction

Stanislas Gabrovsek, Ian Colwill, Elias Stipidis

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review


The majority of allied casualties from recent conflicts were caused by blast wave and fragments perforation damage from Improvised Explosive Devices. Survivability to this type of threat is a critical factor to consider for land platform design. This paper proposes an original approach to platform survivability assessment using a combination of Agent-Based (AB) simulation and Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) to predict the consequences of IED fragment impacts on the platform operational status. As a demonstration, this approach is applied to the comparison of different platform architectures to gain insight into the optimisation of the platform component topology.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)446-463
Number of pages18
JournalDefence Technology
Issue number6
Publication statusPublished - 1 Dec 2016

Bibliographical note

© 2016 The Authors. Production and hosting by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of China Ordnance Society. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (


  • Mission
  • Survivability
  • Simulation
  • Agent-based
  • Fault-tree analysis
  • Platform architecture


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