Combat utility prediction

Stanislas Gabrovsek, Ian Colwill, Elias Stipidis

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle


The majority of allied casualties from recent conflicts were caused by blast wave and fragments perforation damage from Improvised Explosive Devices. Survivability to this type of threat is a critical factor to consider for land platform design. This paper proposes an original approach to platform survivability assessment using a combination of Agent-Based (AB) simulation and Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) to predict the consequences of IED fragment impacts on the platform operational status. As a demonstration, this approach is applied to the comparison of different platform architectures to gain insight into the optimisation of the platform component topology.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)446-463
Number of pages18
JournalDefence Technology
Issue number6
Publication statusPublished - 1 Dec 2016

Bibliographical note

© 2016 The Authors. Production and hosting by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of China Ordnance Society. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (


  • Mission
  • Survivability
  • Simulation
  • Agent-based
  • Fault-tree analysis
  • Platform architecture

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    Gabrovsek, S., Colwill, I., & Stipidis, E. (2016). Combat utility prediction. Defence Technology, 12(6), 446-463.